Please be aware of the limitations when interpreting the forecasts. We recommend to focus on the ensemble which would be expected to give the most reliable forecasts. For horizons beyond one week case forecasts in particular can rapidly become unreliable, especially in times of changing non-pharmaceutical or dominant variants. The individual models that constitute the ensemble have been contributed by independent teams. They are shown for transparency but should not be taken on their own without fully acknowledging their assumptions and limitations and engaging with the listed authors.
Warning! Due to rapid spread of the Omicron variant, case numbers could be undergoing changes that are not accounted for in numerous models. Please treat the forecasts with particular caution at this time.